Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1042.243495 1186.331323 1348.499315 1545.589706 1780.056025 2051.815170 2393.181001
2025-05-11 826.151821 1011.762838 1241.124126 1549.611255 1960.233179 2497.612698 3270.506581
2025-05-18 735.991837 943.309056 1215.079697 1605.640904 2166.607458 2966.298527 4237.307318
2025-05-25 667.751733 887.848442 1190.625108 1650.529267 2355.687323 3439.979835 5328.974813
2025-06-01 608.630470 833.795347 1156.075021 1668.893328 2500.522564 3867.496645 6456.777020
2025-06-08 557.393737 783.201312 1117.547618 1671.510153 2615.651212 4264.462242 7642.155754
2025-06-15 523.141211 752.815753 1104.002703 1708.967414 2791.556967 4800.567993 9263.503453
2025-06-22 474.128516 694.340584 1039.160071 1650.732632 2786.519406 4996.026720 10232.209805
2025-06-29 433.393402 644.744429 982.867348 1598.732353 2782.403735 5189.437741 11260.172921
2025-07-06 396.496767 597.943502 926.297510 1538.517984 2751.631923 5319.312460 12178.619421
2025-07-13 384.726013 590.939505 935.677198 1599.356850 2971.298119 6044.087027 14966.861406
2025-07-20 367.744161 573.608886 925.180806 1620.740625 3112.185670 6623.386659 17621.866495
2025-07-27 350.093821 554.246811 910.186325 1633.485788 3241.865539 7224.327323 20723.847263
2025-08-03 332.961852 534.477187 892.701890 1639.326664 3358.532591 7830.505993 24242.829381
2025-08-10 324.396141 529.010878 900.919065 1699.131678 3613.947212 8897.400667 30290.362438
2025-08-17 314.972576 521.143448 903.649985 1747.393779 3851.471031 9998.067779 37465.282299
2025-08-24 303.044367 507.682544 894.122739 1767.102661 4019.859384 10947.493120 44885.375717
2025-08-31 290.298023 491.720803 878.128192 1769.916484 4143.881420 11799.379400 52749.459034
2025-09-07 282.248008 484.054759 878.153515 1810.158778 4381.822290 13151.238033 65366.158192
2025-09-14 265.098702 457.698643 837.462346 1747.600273 4309.073182 13321.162283 70406.986713
2025-09-21 249.878782 434.215343 801.088503 1691.772534 4247.444425 13521.576086 76064.636636
2025-09-28 234.983084 410.554074 762.737171 1627.166668 4148.723277 13546.047843 80510.890691
2025-10-05 232.151165 410.632555 775.111698 1692.442810 4472.351656 15502.264686 105387.495825